Material and commentaries published in the past may or may not be helpful in analyzing current economic or financial market activity. Please note publishing date when reviewing materials.  Please email [email protected] for our current thoughts or to reach an advisor.

 

Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • Vexed by VIX? Ask Pravit Chintawongvanich.
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue February 20, 2018



    Many market agents seem vexed by the VIX. Their recent lessons include a dramatic spiking of volatility, the reactionary pricing of an exchange-traded note (ETN), some forced liquidation, and a blisteringly fast correction in stock prices. The average stock dropped 14% in only a few weeks.…


  • Eurozone Economy Robust Despite Equity Market Correction
     Author(s): Bill Witherell, Ph.D. | Thu February 15, 2018



    Eurozone equity markets have declined in step with global markets in a widely expected market correction. While there has been some recovery in the first two days of this week, it is not yet clear that the correction has run its course. Concerns that interest rates in both the United States and…


  • Piggy Bank
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Wed February 14, 2018



    One of the characteristics of a struggling republic is the inability to separate its central bank’s resources from the fiscal largesse of the federal government. Using central bank resources to avoid addressing funding of the government is a sure path to runaway inflation, economic decline, and…


  • Trump Infrastructure – First Take
     Author(s): Patricia Healy, CFA | Tue February 13, 2018



    The President’s infrastructure vision is now in the hands of Congress, which is tasked with devising a plan that promotes investment in our nation’s well-being. The vision includes over $1 trillion in investment over the next ten years. Infrastructure investment is sorely needed, as is…


  • Politics Threatens the Fed
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue February 13, 2018



    “Yet there is also good reason to worry,” wrote the Economist on a page 10 editorial dated February 3, 2018. We agree.


  • Presidents & Stock Market Quotes
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Fri February 9, 2018



    First we must say that we think the market is now very oversold and panicked.  That is why we were on the buying side today and especially so in the last hour. Most of the cash in the US and US Core ETF portfolios is deployed as of 4 PM today. The quantitative Lev Vol and Vol strategy…


  • Money, Banking, Energy, Economics on February 22
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Thu February 8, 2018



    Economic and financial issues will be thoroughly discussed on February 22 at USF Sarasota-Manatee. The confirmed lineup includes Sara Banaszak of Exxon Mobil, who has expertise in the energy sector. Everything from Puerto Rico Electric Power to offshore drilling to national constraints is on the…


  • Bond Market Hiccup
     Author(s): John R. Mousseau, CFA | Wed February 7, 2018



    The bond markets have experienced a hiccup in the first part of this year, with the 10-year bond rising 45 basis points in yield, to 2.85% from 2.40%, and the 30-year bond rising 37 basis points in yield, to 3.11% from 2.74%. Our feeling is that these yields are rising in one measure to compete…


  • Market Violence & Interest Rates
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue February 6, 2018



    Fierce forces at work on interest rates … or are we just seeing a mild adjustment? There is no way to know. We are referring to US Treasury interest rates on bills, notes, and bonds. Some bullets follow.

    1. It is clear that the newly installed leadership of the Federal Reserve want to…


  • Congressional Panel Confirmed for February 22
     Author(s): | Mon February 5, 2018



    We have now confirmed a bipartisan congressional panel for the February 22 “Cuba and the Caribbean: What Now?” event. Florida Congressman Carlos Curbelo, whose district includes the Keys, which bore the direct hurricane hit, is joined by Virgin Islands Congresswoman Stacey Plaskett. The…


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch