Insights
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.
Author(s): Leo Chen, Ph.D. | Tue March 20, 2018
The US stock market had a long overdue correction in the first quarter, a response to the concern that the market had become overvalued in the raging post-election bull market. Many sophisticated investors would probably agree that a healthy pullback can propel the market forward in the long run…
Author(s): David L. Blond, Ph.D | Sun March 18, 2018
David L. Blond, Ph.D, has a distinguished career in international economics and particularly on the issues of trade. He is the president of QuERI-International, Washington, D.C.
He has assessed President Trump’s Tariff and Trade barrier initiative and has articulated some strong opinions…
Author(s): John R. Mousseau, CFA | Sat March 17, 2018
The first quarter of 2018 was a wobbly one for municipal bonds. Supply, as we know, was taken from this quarter and moved up to December of 2017 in order to beat the tax bill. Most of this “moved up” issuance was in the form of advance refunding issues (which were not allowed under the new tax…
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Thu March 15, 2018
US Stock market volatility returned in the 1st quarter of 2018 with a vengeance. The January to February low selloff took most major averages down in the double digit range (over 10% drop). The stock market peaked within days of President Trump’s State of the Union Message in which he claimed…
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed March 14, 2018
The stock market will be a prominent topic at the April 5 Financial Literacy Day in Selby Auditorium on the USFSM Sarasota campus.
In the first stock market session, nationally known technical analyst Katie Stockton will pair with Cumberland’s quantitative mathematician, Professor Leo…
Author(s): | Tue March 13, 2018
There is an old saying: “You can lay all the economists end to end and they will still not reach a conclusion.” While there may be some truth to this, there is widespread agreement among most economists (with Peter Navarro perhaps being an exception) that unrestricted trade is beneficial and…
Author(s): Bill Witherell, Ph.D. | Sat March 10, 2018
The Trump administration is raising fears of a possible trade war, a development that is unsettling markets around the globe, upsetting some of our closest allies, and causing great concern to both a wide swath of US business leaders and to leaders of the President’s own party. Following the…
Author(s): John R. Mousseau, CFA | Fri March 9, 2018
The Wall Street Journal had a story on the front page of the “B” section Wednesday morning about banks getting some relief with regard to counting municipal bonds among their “liquid assets.” On Tuesday the Senate voted to formally debate a bill containing that provision, and it should have…
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun March 4, 2018
Many thanks to all who emailed a response to Guns 1-2-3.
Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Sun March 4, 2018
As a part of his first semiannual monetary policy report to Congress, Chairman Powell made an appearance this week before both the House Financial Services Committee and Senate Banking Committee to discuss monetary policy and the state of the economy. How did he do?