Insights
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.
Author(s): William H. Witherell, Ph.D. | Thu March 2, 2023
After lengthy and difficult negotiations, the United Kingdom and the European Union finalized on Monday, February 27, an agreement on rules governing trade between Great Britain and Northern Ireland, the “Windsor Framework.” This agreement should effectively eliminate the tail risk for the UK…
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed March 1, 2023
The excellent chart accompanying this missive was featured in a commentary written by my friend Christopher Whalen. Here’s the link to his analysis: “QT & Powell's Liquidity Trap,” https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/post/qt-powell-s-liquidity-trap. Let’s add a couple of points to…
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun February 26, 2023
My colleague Andrew Crawford raised the issue of the equity risk premium (ERP) in one of Cumberland’s morning strategy calls. Andrew’s question has prompted us to write this commentary and share it with readers. Some Cumberland Advisors clients already know some of these details, since we have…
Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Sat February 25, 2023
Cumberland Advisors’ Friday, February 24, 2023 Week in Review is now available.
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun February 19, 2023
We thank readers for comments about my Sunday, January 22, discussion of dealing with inflation and the Fed over 50 years of Cumberland’s history.
Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Sat February 18, 2023
Dear Clients & Friends,
Author(s): John R. Mousseau, CFA | Sat February 18, 2023
According to Bloomberg News this week, the State of Florida is proposing legislation that will prohibit the use of ESG factors by state and local governments when issuing bonds, including a prohibition against relying on rating agencies when ESG factors could negatively impact an issuer’s bond…
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun February 12, 2023
“Insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.” Let’s get to 50 years of insanity and counting! First, we explore the SEP (Summary of Economic Projections) released in December by the Federal Reserve. In conjunction with the Federal Open Market Committee…
Author(s): Cumberland Advisors | Sat February 11, 2023
Dear Clients & Friends, This Friday, February 10, 2023 Week in Review is Cumberland Advisors’ end-of-week update on market conditions, equities & bonds with Matt C. McAleer, Executive Vice President & Director of Equity Strategies, and John R. Mousseau, President, CEO, and…
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue February 7, 2023
Nearly every talking head on financial TV points to the yield curve as currently being “inverted.” In other words, the short-term interest rate on US Treasury bills is higher than the interest rate on medium-term US Treasury notes. As this commentary is written, the one-year T-bill rate is about…