This is a brief overview of Cumberland Advisors’ thoughts on financial markets as we head into 2023.  We are coming off a rough 2022, one of the rare years with double digit declines in stocks as well as fairly negative returns in bonds.

During 50 years of Cumberland’s history, we have observed many types of inflation cycles and witnessed various responses by the Federal Reserve and the federal government. We’ve seen attempts at “jawboning.” Those didn’t work. Cheerleading — the WIN button (Whip Inflation Now). That didn’t work…

The Cumberland Advisors Week in Review

Last year’s Russian invasion of Ukraine triggered a quickly organized and virtual conference series titled Ukraine: What’s Next? In 2023, we’ve had time to organize an extraordinary lineup for a four-part blockbuster series of presentations offered worldwide virtually and in-person in…

Geopolitical risks, inflation, and recession risks continued into the end of the year, highlighted by announcements of major layoffs at tech and finance companies. Supply chain disruptions eased some, and demand for services increased while consumption of goods declined.

Happy Martin Luther King, Jr. Day. In the video link below, we revisit a 1983 news clip on this 40th anniversary date of the holiday, first signed into law by Republican President, Ronald Reagan.

We’re watching an issue which doesn’t seem to make the stock market’s radar screen, nor the bond market’s credit risk analysis. Repeated incidents seem to be treated as separate “one-offs.” That said, the issue runs the risk of creating a major dislocation; it impacts the utility sector and the…

In last week’s discussion, we looked at last year’s performance of the US housing market and the forces that shaped that performance.

In a recent Wall Street Journal commentary (“Crypto Is Money Without a Purpose,” Dec. 19, 2022), Todd H. Baker argues that crypto activities mimic finance but are really only gambling in disguise.

At the end of the movie The Mule, there is a theme song entitled “Don’t Let the Old Man In,” written and sung by Toby Keith.