Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • Life Expectancy
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun April 9, 2023

    Cumberland-Advisors-Market-Commentary-Sunday-Life-Expectancy-by-David-R.-Kotok


    “Across the lifespan, and across every demographic group, Americans die at younger ages than their counterparts in other wealthy nations.”


  • Taxable Total Return 1st Quarter 2023 Review
     Author(s): Daniel Himelberger | Mon April 3, 2023

    CA-Daniel-Himelberger - 2023 Review - Total Return Taxable Fixed Income — Q1


    Treasury yields continued to be extremely volatile during the first quarter as banking issues sent shockwaves through the market, signaling a slowdown in the Fed’s hiking cycle. The net result of interest rate movements during the first quarter was lower yields across most of the curve.


  • Can the Fed Make a Profit? (Part 2)
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Fri March 31, 2023

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Can the Fed Make a Profit Part 2 by Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D


    On July 21, 2011, we penned a commentary titled “Can the Fed Make a Profit for the Taxpayer?” (https://www.cumber.com/market-commentary/can-fed-make-profit-taxpayer July 21, 2011).


  • Bond Volatility Rules the Quarter
     Author(s): John R. Mousseau, CFA | Thu March 30, 2023

    Bond Volatility Rules the Quarter (Mousseau)


    The bond market saw the US Treasury close the quarter with unprecedented volatility, spurred by the banking crises that began on March 9th, which saw the FDIC take over both Silicon Valley Bank and the Signature Bank of New York.


  • Economic and Financial Markets Review: March 2023
     Author(s): David W. Berson, Ph.D. | Wed March 29, 2023

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary – Economic and Financial Markets Review March 2023 by David W. Berson, Ph.D.


    Summary


  • International Equity Markets in Q1 2023
     Author(s): William H. Witherell, Ph.D. | Tue March 28, 2023

    Bill-Witherell-International-Equities — Q1 2023


    The global economy is in a moderate slowdown, with financial markets being whipsawed by tensions in the banking sectors of the US and Europe in the final weeks of the quarter.


  • The National Debt
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun March 26, 2023

    The National Debt by David R. Kotok


    For 50 years of Cumberland’s history, we have been dealing with the subject of the nation’s debt. Our country has been in debt all its constitutional existence. Prior to the constitutional period the fledgling United States experienced its first hyperinflation with the continental dollar then…


  • The March 2023 FOMC
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Fri March 24, 2023

    March 2023 FOMC by  Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D.


    The FOMC raised its federal funds target rate for the ninth time, to 4.75–5.0%, continuing its pattern of tightening policy rates in 25-basis-point increments. It also maintained its current policy of gradually reducing its holdings of Treasury and agency securities.


  • YouTube of Presentations on Russo-Ukraine Series
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Thu March 23, 2023

    Ukraine-2023-Session-I-&-YouTube-Playlist-URL-&-QR-Code


    On February 16–17, the Global Interdependence Center, in partnership with University of South Florida Sarasota Manatee and the Florida West Coast Chapter of the Air Force Association, held the first in a series of four programs titled “Ukraine: One Year Later.”

    Click the image…


  • 50 Years & More of Bank Failures + SVB
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun March 19, 2023

    Bank Failures


    As the trifecta of the Treasury Department, Fed, and FDIC moved to contain the fallout of the failure of Silicon Valley Bank, here’s how American Banker summed things up on that fateful Sunday night:  


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch