Insights
Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed May 11, 2022
We’re talking bonds and the Fed today. Here are two links and a rant.
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Mon May 9, 2022
Today we are going to look at the credit spread of a Bloomberg intermediate-term BBB-rated bond cohort which is determined and priced AFTER removing the bonds of energy, metals, and mining. The series from Bloomberg is “BBB 5–10yr ex Energy, Metals, and Mining (H33730US Index).”
…Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun May 8, 2022
In an important new study, “Changes in Life Expectancy Between 2019 and 2021: United States and 19 Peer Countries,” the authors have set forth an alarming result of the Covid pandemic, which may have deep implications for US economic growth.
Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Thu May 5, 2022
Equity markets breathed a sigh of relief that the FOMC raised its target federal funds rate range by only 50 basis points, to 0.75%–1.0%, instead of the 75 basis points that some had feared. The Dow Jones surged 932 points after the meeting, the largest increase since 2020.
Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Tue May 3, 2022
Prior to 2022, the US experienced three periods of significant inflation since 1960. The first was from about mid-1964 to fall 1970, when CPI inflation had peaked at 6.54%. The second was the short period from 1972–1975, when inflation peaked at 12.2%. The third was shortly after, from 1977 to…
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Thu April 28, 2022
We’ve received permission from AMG Funds to share a chart they have created. We thank Ben Stevens for granting permission.
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue April 26, 2022
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Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun April 24, 2022
This Sunday, we are combining three elements into one commentary. Readers will see why we at Cumberland still favor the healthcare sector in our US Equity ETF portfolio. That sector is destined to stay very busy.
Author(s): William H. Witherell, Ph.D. | Fri April 22, 2022
Last week, as both central bankers and investors seek to chart the best path ahead through uncertain and volatile waters, the European Central Bank (ECB) delivered a dovish surprise to the market. Current uncertainty about the future exceeds the usual range faced by central bankers.
Author(s): David R. Kotok | Thu April 21, 2022
We thank readers for their notes and replies to “Blanchflower & Recession,” the commentary we offered with Danny Blanchflower about recession and with the help of Philippa Dunne on labor force data.