Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • Christopher Whalen Interview: Bob Eisenbeis on Seeking Normal at the Fed
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sat December 16, 2017



    Our chief monetary economist, Bob Eisenbeis discussed the Fed with Chris Whalen this week. Below, we reproduce the entire interview courtesy of Chris and The Institutional Risk Analyst.

    David R. Kotok Chairman and Chief Investment Officer Email | Bio


  • 4Q2017 REVIEW: US ETF
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Fri December 15, 2017



    The last quarter of 2017 revealed continued bullish momentum in the US stock market and ongoing increases in earnings of US public companies. Through the middle of December, the market made progressive new index highs. Rotation among sectors finally took some steam from the “FAANMG” stocks.…


  • Shrinkage Tantrum-2 & Hillsdale
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Wed December 6, 2017



    We thank readers for their thoughtful comments regarding our discussion entitled "Tax Bill & Shrinkage Tantrum." For those who may have missed it, here is the link: http://www.cumber.com/tax-bill-shrinkage-tantrum/.


  • Tax Bill & Shrinkage Tantrum
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun December 3, 2017



    The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) scoring of the tax bill was released at 8:49 PM on Friday night, and this link will take you to it: https://www.cbo.gov/system/files/115th-congress-2017-2018/costestimate/53362-summarysenatereconciliation.pdf.


  • Marvin Goodfriend: What You Get
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Sat December 2, 2017



    Marvin Goodfriend’s nomination represents what will be a welcomed and outstanding addition to a depleted Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.[1] He brings a lot to the table. First, he is a first-rate economist with a truly international reputation.


  • Richard Yamarone
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Fri December 1, 2017



    [caption id="" align="aligncenter" width="480"] Richard Yamarone sings Folsom Prison Blues[/caption]


  • Merkel Matters
     Author(s): Bill Witherell, Ph.D. | Thu November 30, 2017



    German Chancellor Angela Merkel faced a crisis when coalition talks broke down on November 19th. Germany could have endured months of political uncertainty, and it suddenly became possible that Merkel would be forced to resign. The German public and the world awoke to find that the continuation…


  • Fed, Bonds & Interest Rates
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue November 28, 2017



    Ben White had this to say about Fed appointments last week in his Politico “Morning Money” column:

    “FED TALK – Look for the vice chair nomination to come fairly soon. Mohamed El-Erian remains in the mix but could also be a candidate for the New York Fed. John Taylor sounds like a no-go…


  • Chair Yellen Resigns
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Sat November 25, 2017



    To no one’s surprise, Chair Yellen has announced her intention to resign effective upon the swearing in of her successor, Jerome Powell. Since Governor Powell’s confirmation hearing is set for November 28 of this year, it is possible for him to be confirmed and sworn in before the January 30–31…


  • Thanksgiving and Mythology
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Thu November 23, 2017



    Our American mythology of Thanksgiving is imparted to us as schoolchildren, or at least it used to be. The Pilgrims had voyaged to North America on the Mayflower to escape persecution and had been in Plymouth, Massachusetts, less than a year. They were hungry. A cold winter was setting in, and…


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch