Market Commentary

Insights

Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary offers insights and analysis on upcoming, important economic issues that potentially impact global financial markets. Our team shares their thinking on global economic developments, market news and other factors that often influence investment opportunities and strategies. Our readers appreciate its timeliness, depth of analysis, and quality of research.

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  • Uncertainty
     Author(s): Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D. | Mon December 6, 2021

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - "Uncertainty" by Robert Eisenbeis, Ph.D.


    The first week in December, on the front end of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on December 14-15, has hit markets with a series of events that has resulted in a spike in volatility and generally negative news that has been difficult, if not impossible, for participants to…


  • The WHO
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun December 5, 2021

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - "The WHO" by David R. Kotok


    Here is the Associated Press Friday Morning story about the World Health Organization (WHO) and its Asian Pacific-based observations about Omicron, urging a wide array of measures to control the spread of the heavily mutated new variant: “WHO says measures used against delta should work for…


  • Credit Spreads Widening!
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Thu December 2, 2021

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Credit Spreads Widening


    Every morning at Cumberland we circulate a spreadsheet of about 50 separate interest-rate metrics and credit spreads. These go out to the entire firm. They are compiled internally and are used by Cumberland in a proprietary way. Data is sourced from Bloomberg.


  • Omicron & The Wastewater Transmissibility Indicator
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue November 30, 2021

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Omicron & The Wastewater Transmissibility Indicator by David R. Kotok


    Rob Smith, who covers health care for Capital Alpha (https://capalphadc.com), reminds us of a history lesson: “Delta variant that currently dominates U.S. infections was first detected in India in Dec. 2020. It was identified in the U.S. in March 2021.


  • Statistical Discrepancy: a Mystery about Profits? -by Michael Drury
     Author(s): David R. Kotok & Michael Drury | Mon November 29, 2021

    Guest Commentary - Statistical Discrepancy by Michael Drury


    We were working on the issue of corporate profits and what is the widest-ever statistical discrepancy in the GDP data. Lo and behold! In comes my friend Michael Drury with an excellent analysis and graphic depiction of the problem. Mike graciously gave permission for us to reproduce his…


  • Reader responses to "Jobs Data & Nurses"
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Sun November 28, 2021

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Reader Responses to "Jobs Data & Nurses" by David R. Kotok


    We thank readers for sharing comments about our pre-Thanksgiving missive about jobs and nurses (https://www.cumber.com/market-commentary/jobs-data-nurses).


  • Omicron (Nu)
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Fri November 26, 2021

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Omnicron (Nu) by David R. Kotok


    Below: Quotes summary given to financial media this morning (Black Friday. Nov 26, 2011 - Also see: https://www.cumber.com/in-the-news/wall-st-week-ahead-covid-19-fears-reappear-threat-market ).


  • Jobs Data & Nurses
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Tue November 23, 2021

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Jobs Data & Nurses by David R. Kotok


    My friend and fisherwoman Danielle DiMartino Booth opened the November 15 issue of her Daily Feather letter with this summary: “The record 4.3 million U.S.


  • Brexit Still a Headwind for the UK
     Author(s): William H. Witherell, Ph.D. | Mon November 22, 2021

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - Brexit Still a Headwind for the UK by Bill Witherell, Ph.D.


    It is almost 22 months since the United Kingdom formally exited the European Union (Brexit), and the two sides are again locked in difficult negotiations on the terms of the divorce. The first 11 months was a transition period during which the terms of the new trade arrangements were negotiated…


  • China Update
     Author(s): David R. Kotok | Fri November 19, 2021

    Cumberland Advisors Market Commentary - China Update by David R. Kotok


    In the new China finance regime, a required personal contribution to resolve a debt problem is now a standard. That new standard is there whether it was originally agreed to or not.


 

 

"The mind is not a vessel to be filled but a fire to be kindled."

Plutarch